The Bank of England has warned that the UK now heading for a recession, with GDP forecast to contract at the end of this year. Double digit inflation of just over 10% is forecast later this year, the highest since 1982. The Bank has raised interest rates to 1%, the highest level since 2009, Basically, the economy under the Tories is in the toilet.

Four factors have caused it. The shambolic lockdowns, a rushed and threadbare EU trade deal, the war in Ukraine and Net Zero. This is wholly self-inflicted. There’s not now much we can do about the first two, and the die is cast, but the national interest is for the war in Ukraine to end as soon as possible. Yet the British policy is to escalate the war and drag it out to the last Ukrainian.

Worst of all is Net Zero. Nobody is forcing us to make our energy more expensive. Nobody is forcing us to erect useless windmills and nobody is forcing us to switch to electric cars. But nothing will deter this government from inflicting further misery on hard pressed households.

The only way things are going to get better is if the Tories are no longer in power. But on the substantive points of Ukraine and Net Zero, the main parties are identical and wouldn’t do anything differently. Their virtue signalling narcissism and their hobby horse agendas will take precedence over cost of living. Most of our politicians have no concept of hardship or what it means to struggle. MPs will be billing the taxpayer to heat their second homes.

Life is about to become harder than it has been for a generation. Thanks to a lazy and bloated NHS, still reeling from Covid lockdowns, GP services have all but collapsed and NHS dentistry is vanishing. Other branches of the state are in similar chaos. The justice system is collapsing.

In the not too distant future we are to have a massive crime wave. Crime and recession go hand in hand, but this time around it will be especially severe. Since the beginnings of EU freedom of movement and the subsequent abandonment of immigration control. the economy has been geared around cheap consumer services, particularly in London. Services such as Deliveroo and Amazon are contingent on the public having disposable income – and thanks to Net Zero, that’s now a thing of the past. Energy costs will see takeaways shutting up shop as their food will be unaffordable.

That means jobs are going to dry up for immigrants and those working in the informal sectors, which in all probability means an explosion of gang related crime as more turn to selling drugs. This at a time when London is already plagued by machete attacks in broad daylight and record numbers of stabbings. It is unlikely the police will be able to restore order being that they’re hamstrung by political correctness and wokery. Inner suburbs of London will become demilitarised zones.

My feeling is that the riots we saw during the BLM histrionics are going to look tame by comparison. There are up to two million illegal immigrants with no right to be here, no recourse to public funds and no means of employment. That means crime and intra ethnic violence on our streets.

Recession, though, is not limited to the UK. The BBC reports that Turkey’s cost of living has risen by nearly 70 percent. The war in Ukraine is set to create a global food crisis – acutely affecting Africa. That means yet another summer of death in the Mediterranean and more illegal crossings in the Channel. Britain’s asylum system is already saturated but the Tories apparently have no interest in defending our borders so it’s going to get worse.

We’ve been predicting a breakdown of law and order for some time. The system is already creaking and it certainly cannot withstand what is set to be a long term recession. Successive governments have failed to fix the roof when the sun was shining and following Covid lockdowns there is no resilience left in the system. We could be looking at a broader societal breakdown. Community has been replaced with the welfare state but the welfare state is no longer able to do the heavy lifting and keep people in the lifestyles to which they have become accustomed. A generation that has never known a serious recession is going to have a rude awakening.

Many of us thought that Brexit would lead to a political renewal and for a time it looked like it would have an impact, but it’s been quite astounding how in just two years the establishment has reverted to its habitual indolence, and any hopes that Brexit would be transformative are now dead. The establishment parties are locked into a pattern of behaviour and a mindset that simply doesn’t acknowledge the real world.

They’re not morally or intellectually equipped to solve any of the problems we face, nor is our political system capable of delivering the talented politicians. Britain is now on an inexorable decline trajectory, and all we can do is watch as out political class dithers and the media fixates on trivia. The only thing we expect them to do is to pour petrol an on already raging bin fire.

Whether the public realises it or not, Britain is not just heading for a recession. We are looking at a more existential emergency. Our political system is immune to demands for change, nor do the public have the means to force change. But without radical change, and without a meaningful democracy, the well of resentment will find other channels and will manifest in dangerous ways. We have few opportunities left to avert a major disaster for our country.